Finally, the 8th Deising’s Bakery presidential cookie poll becomes relevant. Final results from the uptown fixture showed Donald Trump beating Joe Biden in heavily Democratic Kingston by an official count of 1,418 (53.5%) to 1,242. Curiously, Ulster was the only county in the Hudson Valley to vote for Biden.
One of the original cookie sites in 1992, Deising’s results are for the most part column fodder since New York doesn’t really matter in presidential elections. Still undecided Pennsylvania does, a lot, and at Lochell’s Bakery in rural Hatboro, PA, Trump buried Biden 31,804 to 5,750. Trump supporters (full of cookies) must have been bouncing off the walls Wednesday morning.
Thanks to Eric and Peter Deising for suppling this inside information and for dropping the retail price of presidential cookie from $2.50 to a buck.
Meanwhile, some overviews. Biggest loser this this year and winners of the quadrennial Hughie Stinky: the pollsters. Having sworn they’d atoned for their sins of omission of ‘16, hot dammit, they did it again! If voters had voted the way pollsters had predicted, Joe Biden would have been declared president on election night.
If it’s any consolation to egg-faced pollsters, and it’s not, the reasons for another monumental failure to predict are pretty much the same. To wit: scientific polls are supposed to be a representative sampling of potential voters. Pollsters clearly missed Trump voters. Again. And probably a lot of independents.
Sure, it’s hard to reach people who refuse to be counted or, if contacted, refuse to talk. But don’t call them scientific polls if huge swaths of voters are not represented. How to get to them next time, if there is a next time, is not my problem.
RISING STARS SHOT DOWN – State senate Democratic candidates Jen Metzger (42nd S.D.) of Rosendale and Michelle Hinchey (46th) of Saugerties were the party’s rising stars until they counted the ballots Tuesday night.
Metzger, who narrowly won her senate seat in a blue wave two years ago, was trailing Orange County’s Mike Martucci by over 10,600 with all 263 districts reporting on election night, while Hinchey, a newcomer, trailed Rich Amedure of Albany County by some 8,200 votes with only seven of 274 districts out, according to unofficial returns. Thousands of absentees might move the needle just enough to raise hopes.
Ouch. The Senate Democratic Campaign Committee invested more than $300,000 in an effort to retain Metzger’s seat with about a third of that funneled into Hinchey’s campaign. It would seem that money can by neither love nor senate seats.
Some of the Democratic dilemma speaks to geography, what with all politics being local. Metzer and Hinchey both live on the far edges of their respective districts. The 42nd is an Orange County district; Metzer spent a good deal of her time and effort there over the past two years. The 46th is centered in the Capital Region.
And yet, here are these tattered stars, red-faced and bewildered for now but itching for the next senate election. The problem for the people who will redistrict the senate next year will be forced to choose between two seasoned senate candidates in the mid-Hudson living less than ten miles apart.
Like the guy in the hospital waiting room handing out cigarettes upon the birth of his 10th child, Kevin Cahill, Democrat of Kingston, the county’s longest-serving assemblyman, didn’t run much of a campaign this year. Cahill doubled the output of hapless Republican Rex Bridges of Red Hook, but did take out one campaign ad that caught my eye.
Rather than urging voters to give him another term, Cahill instead asked them to support local journalism, warning that what we used to call “ink-stained scribes” could become “extinct.”
Coincidentally, in the same paper, the Freeman ran a house ad pleading with politicians to support print advertising. Memo to the Gray Lady of Hurley Avenue: That ship sailed a long, long time ago, first via broadcast, then direct mail and lately the Internet.
And lastly, in the most local of local elections, Woodstockers turned out en masse to vote down a proposal for a new library. Unofficial tallies had it close, 1,659 to 1,581. They must have rousted people out of bed, there being roughly 4,000 registered voters in the Art Colony.